Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Porto Seguro S.A. (PSSA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$82.25 - $159.64$113.02
Multi-Stage$62.93 - $68.65$65.74
Blended Fair Value$89.38
Current Price$49.86
Upside79.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.05%2.77%1.290.550.971.301.061.011.910.500.070.32
YoY Growth--134.79%-43.27%-25.42%22.41%5.22%-47.17%279.97%613.32%-77.75%-67.76%
Dividend Yield--3.23%1.85%4.55%7.17%5.57%5.78%9.44%3.11%0.76%3.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,212.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)871.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,341.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)642.60401.62240.97
Cash Retained (M)2,341.872,341.872,341.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-642.60-401.62-240.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,699.271,940.242,100.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)647.94647.94647.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.622.993.24
LTM Dividend per Share1.341.341.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.622.993.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.974.344.59
WACC / Discount Rate10.59%10.59%10.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$82.25$113.02$159.64
Upside / Downside64.95%126.67%220.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,212.983,421.833,644.253,881.124,133.404,402.074,534.13
Payout Ratio27.11%39.69%52.27%64.84%77.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)871.121,358.121,904.762,516.713,200.183,961.864,194.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.59%10.59%10.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,216.551,228.081,239.62
Year 2 PV (M)1,528.351,557.461,586.85
Year 3 PV (M)1,808.881,860.811,913.72
Year 4 PV (M)2,060.362,139.602,221.09
Year 5 PV (M)2,284.862,395.222,509.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,873.6233,413.1335,011.56
Equity Value (M)40,772.6342,594.3044,482.64
Shares Outstanding (M)647.94647.94647.94
Fair Value$62.93$65.74$68.65
Upside / Downside26.21%31.85%37.69%

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