Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Perenti Limited (PRN.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.41 - $40.12$13.44
Multi-Stage$4.48 - $4.89$4.68
Blended Fair Value$9.06
Current Price$1.62
Upside459.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS24.71%22.70%0.080.020.000.010.070.020.040.020.010.00
YoY Growth--279.12%4,293.56%-96.92%-77.78%164.30%-43.62%114.57%217.88%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--4.65%1.97%0.04%2.24%9.84%2.15%2.40%1.12%0.35%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)216.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)84.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)131.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.2227.0116.21
Cash Retained (M)131.27131.27131.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.22-27.01-16.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)88.06104.26115.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)962.82962.82962.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate8.06%8.06%8.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.41$13.44$40.12
Upside / Downside357.41%729.55%2,376.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)216.09230.14245.10261.03277.99296.06304.95
Payout Ratio39.25%49.40%59.55%69.70%79.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)84.82113.69145.96181.94221.98266.46282.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.06%8.06%8.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)104.22105.21106.20
Year 2 PV (M)122.67125.00127.36
Year 3 PV (M)140.18144.20148.30
Year 4 PV (M)156.79162.82169.02
Year 5 PV (M)172.54180.87189.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,612.403,786.883,968.03
Equity Value (M)4,308.804,504.994,708.45
Shares Outstanding (M)962.82962.82962.82
Fair Value$4.48$4.68$4.89
Upside / Downside176.25%188.82%201.87%

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