Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Park National Corporation (PRK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$226.97 - $535.20$334.22
Multi-Stage$187.44 - $204.79$195.96
Blended Fair Value$265.09
Current Price$162.53
Upside63.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.32%2.96%4.774.254.724.584.334.263.883.543.553.56
YoY Growth--12.39%-9.99%3.09%5.62%1.79%9.68%9.60%-0.28%-0.21%-0.17%
Dividend Yield--3.15%3.24%3.98%3.48%3.35%5.48%4.10%3.41%3.38%3.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)176.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)98.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.2122.0113.20
Cash Retained (M)98.2498.2498.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.21-22.01-13.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.0376.2385.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.2416.2416.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.884.695.24
LTM Dividend per Share4.794.794.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.884.695.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.679.4910.03
WACC / Discount Rate8.60%8.60%8.60%
Growth Rate4.60%5.60%6.60%
Fair Value$226.97$334.22$535.20
Upside / Downside39.65%105.64%229.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)176.06185.92196.34207.33218.94231.20238.14
Payout Ratio44.20%53.36%62.52%71.68%80.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.8299.21122.75148.62176.99208.08220.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.60%8.60%8.60%
Growth Rate4.60%5.60%6.60%
Year 1 PV (M)90.4991.3692.22
Year 2 PV (M)102.12104.08106.06
Year 3 PV (M)112.77116.04119.37
Year 4 PV (M)122.50127.25132.14
Year 5 PV (M)131.36137.76144.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,484.242,605.282,731.00
Equity Value (M)3,043.493,181.783,325.20
Shares Outstanding (M)16.2416.2416.24
Fair Value$187.44$195.96$204.79
Upside / Downside15.33%20.57%26.00%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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