Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Portland General Electric Company (POR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$147.39 - $548.80$443.25
Multi-Stage$70.75 - $77.29$73.96
Blended Fair Value$258.61
Current Price$44.00
Upside487.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.34%8.68%1.821.631.441.371.281.221.141.071.000.88
YoY Growth--11.73%13.29%5.33%7.14%4.48%7.20%5.93%7.27%13.40%11.49%
Dividend Yield--4.08%3.89%2.94%2.48%2.69%2.55%2.20%2.65%2.26%2.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)303.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)219.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)84.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)60.6037.8822.73
Cash Retained (M)84.0084.0084.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-60.60-37.88-22.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.4046.1361.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)109.80109.80109.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.420.56
LTM Dividend per Share1.991.991.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.420.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.212.412.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$147.39$443.25$548.80
Upside / Downside234.98%907.39%1,147.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)303.00322.70343.67366.01389.80415.14427.59
Payout Ratio72.28%75.82%79.37%82.91%86.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)219.00244.67272.76303.46337.00373.62395.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)226.35228.50230.64
Year 2 PV (M)233.43237.88242.37
Year 3 PV (M)240.26247.16254.19
Year 4 PV (M)246.84256.33266.09
Year 5 PV (M)253.16265.39278.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,568.456,885.717,215.11
Equity Value (M)7,768.508,120.968,486.48
Shares Outstanding (M)109.80109.80109.80
Fair Value$70.75$73.96$77.29
Upside / Downside60.80%68.09%75.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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