Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. (PNFP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$156.95 - $342.85$225.15
Multi-Stage$112.49 - $122.93$117.62
Blended Fair Value$171.38
Current Price$93.79
Upside82.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.73%19.73%0.890.890.880.720.640.650.590.460.320.24
YoY Growth--0.40%0.80%22.86%12.38%-0.88%9.62%26.59%45.22%35.06%60.62%
Dividend Yield--0.84%1.07%1.60%0.78%0.72%1.72%1.04%0.72%0.48%0.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)623.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)549.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)124.7177.9546.77
Cash Retained (M)549.71549.71549.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-124.71-77.95-46.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)425.00471.77502.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)77.2377.2377.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.506.116.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.960.960.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.506.116.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.467.067.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$156.95$225.15$342.85
Upside / Downside67.34%140.06%265.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)623.57664.11707.27753.24802.21854.35879.98
Payout Ratio11.84%27.48%43.11%58.74%74.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.86182.47304.88442.44596.59768.91813.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)164.56166.12167.68
Year 2 PV (M)247.97252.70257.46
Year 3 PV (M)324.53333.85343.34
Year 4 PV (M)394.66409.83425.45
Year 5 PV (M)458.73480.89503.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,097.897,440.727,796.67
Equity Value (M)8,688.349,084.119,494.50
Shares Outstanding (M)77.2377.2377.23
Fair Value$112.49$117.62$122.93
Upside / Downside19.94%25.41%31.07%

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