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Definitive Analysis

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Plymouth Industrial REIT, Inc. (PLYM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$62.63 - $260.45$107.77
Multi-Stage$39.77 - $43.43$41.57
Blended Fair Value$74.67
Current Price$22.33
Upside234.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.93%0.00%0.970.940.890.700.570.440.250.040.000.00
YoY Growth--3.90%4.91%26.98%22.44%29.00%79.82%531.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.96%4.34%4.24%2.59%3.40%3.98%1.47%0.23%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)92.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.5611.606.96
Cash Retained (M)46.4646.4646.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.56-11.60-6.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.8934.8539.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.8244.8244.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.780.88
LTM Dividend per Share1.031.031.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.780.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.661.811.92
WACC / Discount Rate8.29%8.29%8.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$62.63$107.77$260.45
Upside / Downside180.47%382.61%1,066.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)92.8198.84105.26112.10119.39127.15130.97
Payout Ratio49.94%57.95%65.97%73.98%81.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.3557.2869.4482.9397.89114.44121.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.29%8.29%8.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)52.4052.9053.39
Year 2 PV (M)58.1159.2160.33
Year 3 PV (M)63.4865.3167.16
Year 4 PV (M)68.5471.1873.89
Year 5 PV (M)73.3076.8480.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,466.751,537.591,611.15
Equity Value (M)1,782.581,863.031,946.45
Shares Outstanding (M)44.8244.8244.82
Fair Value$39.77$41.57$43.43
Upside / Downside78.12%86.16%94.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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