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Definitive Analysis

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PJSC PIK-specialized homebuilder (PIKK.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,383.39 - $2,146.05$1,736.41
Multi-Stage$3,157.05 - $3,477.97$3,314.34
Blended Fair Value$2,525.38
Current Price$598.80
Upside321.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS0.00%0.00%0.0045.6722.7922.7922.790.000.000.004.180.00
YoY Growth---100.00%100.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.14%3.82%5.69%6.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.23%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)97,008.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30,209.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)66,799.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19,401.7512,126.107,275.66
Cash Retained (M)66,799.7766,799.7766,799.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-19,401.75-12,126.10-7,275.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)47,398.0254,673.6859,524.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)658.20658.20658.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share72.0183.0790.44
LTM Dividend per Share45.9045.9045.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share72.0183.0790.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend117.91128.96136.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,383.39$1,736.41$2,146.05
Upside / Downside131.03%189.98%258.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)97,008.7796,038.6895,078.3094,127.5193,186.2492,254.3895,022.01
Payout Ratio31.14%42.91%54.68%66.46%78.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30,209.0041,212.4951,992.8962,553.5672,897.8283,028.9487,895.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)38,359.3538,750.7739,142.20
Year 2 PV (M)45,043.1545,967.0946,900.41
Year 3 PV (M)50,440.4852,000.3953,592.13
Year 4 PV (M)54,712.1956,979.7659,317.09
Year 5 PV (M)58,001.8061,022.0864,166.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,831,403.761,926,769.202,026,066.62
Equity Value (M)2,077,960.732,181,489.292,289,185.34
Shares Outstanding (M)658.20658.20658.20
Fair Value$3,157.05$3,314.34$3,477.97
Upside / Downside427.23%453.50%480.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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