Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Peoples Bancorp Inc. (PEBO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$95.01 - $508.56$171.96
Multi-Stage$58.41 - $63.77$61.04
Blended Fair Value$116.50
Current Price$29.99
Upside288.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.57%23.49%1.581.471.200.880.770.730.590.420.320.28
YoY Growth--7.68%22.36%36.68%14.60%4.28%24.04%42.22%31.62%11.01%48.74%
Dividend Yield--5.33%5.11%4.66%2.80%2.31%3.32%1.88%1.17%1.00%1.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)101.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)57.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)44.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.3912.747.65
Cash Retained (M)44.4544.4544.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.39-12.74-7.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)24.0631.7036.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.3235.3235.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.901.04
LTM Dividend per Share1.631.631.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.901.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.312.532.67
WACC / Discount Rate8.06%8.06%8.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$95.01$171.96$508.56
Upside / Downside216.81%473.38%1,595.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)101.95108.58115.64123.16131.16139.69143.88
Payout Ratio56.40%63.12%69.84%76.56%83.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)57.5168.5480.7694.29109.23125.72133.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.06%8.06%8.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)62.8363.4264.02
Year 2 PV (M)67.8769.1670.47
Year 3 PV (M)72.6374.7276.84
Year 4 PV (M)77.1380.1083.15
Year 5 PV (M)81.3885.3189.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,700.981,783.131,868.44
Equity Value (M)2,062.812,155.842,252.30
Shares Outstanding (M)35.3235.3235.32
Fair Value$58.41$61.04$63.77
Upside / Downside94.76%103.54%112.65%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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