Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Pacific Gas and Electric Company PFD 1ST 4.36% (PCG-PI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.49 - $17.82$14.42
Multi-Stage$25.67 - $28.31$26.96
Blended Fair Value$20.69
Current Price$15.08
Upside37.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-20.27%0.040.000.000.000.000.000.000.460.420.39
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%10.86%7.59%3.38%
Dividend Yield--0.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.05%0.63%0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,707.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)188.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,519.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)541.40338.38203.03
Cash Retained (M)2,519.002,519.002,519.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-541.40-338.38-203.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,977.602,180.632,315.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,207.752,207.752,207.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.900.991.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.900.991.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.49$14.42$17.82
Upside / Downside-23.79%-4.35%18.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,707.002,679.932,653.132,626.602,600.332,574.332,651.56
Payout Ratio6.94%23.56%40.17%56.78%73.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)188.00631.281,065.681,491.331,908.362,316.902,452.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)587.52593.51599.51
Year 2 PV (M)923.04941.97961.10
Year 3 PV (M)1,202.161,239.341,277.27
Year 4 PV (M)1,431.681,491.011,552.17
Year 5 PV (M)1,617.661,701.901,789.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,905.9853,556.7856,316.86
Equity Value (M)56,668.0459,524.5162,496.53
Shares Outstanding (M)2,207.752,207.752,207.75
Fair Value$25.67$26.96$28.31
Upside / Downside70.21%78.79%87.72%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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