Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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OVS S.p.A. (OVS.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.54 - $13.48$9.19
Multi-Stage$9.97 - $10.93$10.44
Blended Fair Value$9.81
Current Price$3.64
Upside169.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.060.040.000.000.000.000.130.130.00
YoY Growth--53.69%45.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.79%2.84%1.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.30%2.66%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)98.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.7112.327.39
Cash Retained (M)20.6620.6620.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.71-12.32-7.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.958.3413.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)262.57262.57262.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate1.67%2.67%3.67%
Fair Value$6.54$9.19$13.48
Upside / Downside79.60%152.43%270.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)98.55101.17103.87106.64109.48112.40115.77
Payout Ratio79.04%81.23%83.42%85.61%87.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.8982.1886.6591.3096.13101.16107.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate1.67%2.67%3.67%
Year 1 PV (M)76.5377.2978.04
Year 2 PV (M)75.1576.6378.13
Year 3 PV (M)73.7475.9378.18
Year 4 PV (M)72.3175.1978.16
Year 5 PV (M)70.8674.4178.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,249.242,362.052,479.35
Equity Value (M)2,617.822,741.512,869.98
Shares Outstanding (M)262.57262.57262.57
Fair Value$9.97$10.44$10.93
Upside / Downside173.90%186.85%200.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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