Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.05 - $38.25$31.92
Multi-Stage$47.02 - $51.64$49.29
Blended Fair Value$40.60
Current Price$91.43
Upside-55.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%1.521.351.170.990.650.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.43%15.91%18.32%51.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.47%1.37%1.38%1.28%0.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,347.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)639.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)708.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)269.40168.38101.03
Cash Retained (M)708.00708.00708.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-269.40-168.38-101.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)438.60539.63606.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)398.40398.40398.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.101.351.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.601.601.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.101.351.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.702.963.13
WACC / Discount Rate8.18%8.18%8.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$26.05$31.92$38.25
Upside / Downside-71.51%-65.09%-58.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,347.001,333.531,320.191,306.991,293.921,280.981,319.41
Payout Ratio47.44%55.95%64.46%72.98%81.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)639.00746.12851.04953.781,054.391,152.891,220.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.18%8.18%8.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)682.76689.73696.70
Year 2 PV (M)712.64727.26742.02
Year 3 PV (M)730.85753.45776.52
Year 4 PV (M)739.33769.97801.56
Year 5 PV (M)739.75778.27818.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,129.2515,917.0616,737.36
Equity Value (M)18,734.5819,635.7420,572.53
Shares Outstanding (M)398.40398.40398.40
Fair Value$47.02$49.29$51.64
Upside / Downside-48.57%-46.09%-43.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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