Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.97 - $92.11$74.23
Multi-Stage$71.95 - $78.45$75.14
Blended Fair Value$74.69
Current Price$56.46
Upside32.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.54%-1.30%4.683.464.0110.646.733.410.000.000.150.64
YoY Growth--35.27%-13.75%-62.32%58.06%97.55%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-76.62%-87.93%
Dividend Yield--9.57%6.88%10.81%22.45%12.53%17.82%0.00%0.00%0.61%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)705.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)501.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)204.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)141.0088.1352.88
Cash Retained (M)204.00204.00204.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-141.00-88.13-52.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.00115.88151.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)119.72119.72119.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.971.26
LTM Dividend per Share4.184.184.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.971.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.715.155.45
WACC / Discount Rate10.25%10.25%10.25%
Growth Rate2.09%3.09%4.09%
Fair Value$58.97$74.23$92.11
Upside / Downside4.45%31.48%63.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)705.00726.81749.29772.47796.37821.00845.63
Payout Ratio71.06%74.85%78.64%82.43%86.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)501.00544.02589.23636.71686.57738.90782.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.25%10.25%10.25%
Growth Rate2.09%3.09%4.09%
Year 1 PV (M)488.66493.45498.24
Year 2 PV (M)475.41484.77494.22
Year 3 PV (M)461.44475.14489.10
Year 4 PV (M)446.94464.71483.01
Year 5 PV (M)432.06453.64476.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,309.446,624.566,952.14
Equity Value (M)8,613.968,996.269,392.77
Shares Outstanding (M)119.72119.72119.72
Fair Value$71.95$75.14$78.45
Upside / Downside27.43%33.09%38.96%

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