Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.97 - $85.31$70.41
Multi-Stage$93.99 - $103.15$98.48
Blended Fair Value$84.45
Current Price$81.53
Upside3.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.41%1.68%2.812.862.953.012.862.872.792.622.572.52
YoY Growth---1.78%-3.17%-1.89%5.26%-0.28%2.88%6.46%1.94%1.75%6.13%
Dividend Yield--3.39%2.96%3.13%3.54%3.85%5.22%3.78%3.60%2.98%3.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,334.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)550.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)784.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)266.92166.83100.10
Cash Retained (M)784.00784.00784.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-266.92-166.83-100.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)517.08617.18683.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)196.90196.90196.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.633.133.47
LTM Dividend per Share2.802.802.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.633.133.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.425.936.27
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate-1.04%-0.04%0.96%
Fair Value$56.97$70.41$85.31
Upside / Downside-30.13%-13.64%4.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,334.601,334.131,333.661,333.191,332.721,332.251,372.22
Payout Ratio41.26%51.00%60.75%70.50%80.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)550.60680.47810.24939.931,069.521,199.031,269.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate-1.04%-0.04%0.96%
Year 1 PV (M)621.54627.82634.10
Year 2 PV (M)676.00689.73703.59
Year 3 PV (M)716.29738.22760.60
Year 4 PV (M)744.47775.02806.50
Year 5 PV (M)762.34801.64842.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,986.0615,758.6616,562.80
Equity Value (M)18,506.6919,391.0920,310.14
Shares Outstanding (M)196.90196.90196.90
Fair Value$93.99$98.48$103.15
Upside / Downside15.28%20.79%26.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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