Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

OFG Bancorp (OFG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$111.54 - $329.22$176.04
Multi-Stage$74.25 - $81.14$77.63
Blended Fair Value$126.84
Current Price$43.49
Upside191.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.00%12.17%1.010.900.660.430.320.320.280.230.220.39
YoY Growth--11.30%36.29%52.60%37.11%0.04%12.34%21.25%4.06%-42.90%22.67%
Dividend Yield--2.51%2.52%2.66%1.63%1.40%2.83%1.40%2.23%1.89%5.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)199.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)149.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.9124.9414.97
Cash Retained (M)149.42149.42149.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.91-24.94-14.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)109.51124.47134.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.3645.3645.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.412.742.96
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.412.742.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.523.854.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.83%8.83%8.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$111.54$176.04$329.22
Upside / Downside156.48%304.79%657.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)199.56212.53226.34241.06256.72273.41281.61
Payout Ratio25.13%38.10%51.08%64.05%77.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.1480.97115.61154.40197.74246.07260.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.83%8.83%8.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)73.7174.4075.10
Year 2 PV (M)95.7897.6199.45
Year 3 PV (M)116.44119.79123.19
Year 4 PV (M)135.75140.97146.34
Year 5 PV (M)153.76161.19168.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,792.662,927.553,067.60
Equity Value (M)3,368.113,521.513,680.58
Shares Outstanding (M)45.3645.3645.36
Fair Value$74.25$77.63$81.14
Upside / Downside70.73%78.50%86.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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