Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Norconsult ASA (NORCO.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.52 - $122.44$75.07
Multi-Stage$37.64 - $41.00$39.29
Blended Fair Value$57.18
Current Price$47.50
Upside20.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.07%0.00%1.142.880.840.810.660.590.950.000.000.00
YoY Growth---60.53%242.13%3.67%22.57%12.54%-38.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.57%10.65%4.44%4.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)704.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)512.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)192.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)140.8088.0052.80
Cash Retained (M)192.00192.00192.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-140.80-88.00-52.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.20104.00139.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)302.19302.19302.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.340.46
LTM Dividend per Share1.691.691.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.340.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.862.042.15
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$50.52$75.07$122.44
Upside / Downside6.36%58.04%157.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)704.00749.76798.49850.40905.67964.54993.48
Payout Ratio72.73%76.18%79.64%83.09%86.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)512.00571.18635.89706.60783.82868.09918.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)517.24522.14527.04
Year 2 PV (M)521.46531.39541.41
Year 3 PV (M)524.72539.78555.13
Year 4 PV (M)527.09547.36568.21
Year 5 PV (M)528.63554.16580.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,754.809,177.669,616.70
Equity Value (M)11,373.9211,872.4812,389.16
Shares Outstanding (M)302.19302.19302.19
Fair Value$37.64$39.29$41.00
Upside / Downside-20.76%-17.29%-13.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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