Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT PAM Mineral Tbk (NICL.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$340.93 - $484.35$411.58
Multi-Stage$581.28 - $634.52$607.40
Blended Fair Value$509.49
Current Price$1,050.00
Upside-51.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%17.506.740.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--159.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.87%4.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)545,696.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)542,330.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,366.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)109,139.4068,212.1240,927.27
Cash Retained (M)3,366.393,366.393,366.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-109,139.40-68,212.12-40,927.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)-105,773.01-64,845.74-37,560.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10,635.4010,635.4010,635.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share-9.95-6.10-3.53
LTM Dividend per Share50.9950.9950.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share-9.95-6.10-3.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend41.0544.9047.46
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$340.93$411.58$484.35
Upside / Downside-67.53%-60.80%-53.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)545,696.99540,240.02534,837.61529,489.24524,194.35518,952.40534,520.98
Payout Ratio99.38%97.51%95.63%93.75%91.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)542,330.60526,769.04511,464.47496,413.32481,612.05467,057.16494,431.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)474,911.49479,757.52484,603.56
Year 2 PV (M)415,719.45424,246.80432,860.73
Year 3 PV (M)363,764.85375,014.53386,493.78
Year 4 PV (M)318,175.76331,362.65344,955.27
Year 5 PV (M)278,184.04292,669.73307,752.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,331,343.414,556,886.514,791,728.91
Equity Value (M)6,182,098.996,459,937.756,748,394.91
Shares Outstanding (M)10,635.4010,635.4010,635.40
Fair Value$581.28$607.40$634.52
Upside / Downside-44.64%-42.15%-39.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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