Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Newtek Business Services Corp. 5.50% Notes Due 2026 (NEWTZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.17 - $448.71$140.24
Multi-Stage$73.14 - $80.20$76.60
Blended Fair Value$108.42
Current Price$11.45
Upside846.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-59.56%0.00%0.020.552.502.721.651.581.261.091.060.59
YoY Growth---96.88%-78.08%-7.98%64.72%4.45%25.70%15.02%3.29%80.66%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.14%4.80%19.56%10.19%6.19%11.97%6.38%6.05%6.24%4.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.867.414.45
Cash Retained (M)33.1233.1233.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.86-7.41-4.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.2725.7128.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.7825.7825.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.821.001.11
LTM Dividend per Share1.011.011.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.821.001.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.842.012.13
WACC / Discount Rate5.97%5.97%5.97%
Growth Rate3.47%4.47%5.47%
Fair Value$76.17$140.24$448.71
Upside / Downside565.28%1,124.81%3,818.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.3061.9564.7167.6170.6373.7876.00
Payout Ratio44.14%53.31%62.48%71.65%80.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.1733.0240.4348.4457.0966.4170.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.97%5.97%5.97%
Growth Rate3.47%4.47%5.47%
Year 1 PV (M)30.8631.1631.46
Year 2 PV (M)35.3236.0136.70
Year 3 PV (M)39.5540.7141.89
Year 4 PV (M)43.5645.2747.03
Year 5 PV (M)47.3649.7052.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,689.101,772.321,858.78
Equity Value (M)1,885.761,975.172,067.98
Shares Outstanding (M)25.7825.7825.78
Fair Value$73.14$76.60$80.20
Upside / Downside538.74%569.03%600.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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