Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.81 - $248.19$123.10
Multi-Stage$49.81 - $54.40$52.06
Blended Fair Value$87.58
Current Price$88.45
Upside-0.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.14%18.63%0.930.760.660.600.550.530.480.420.350.26
YoY Growth--22.68%15.14%9.43%9.38%4.92%8.93%15.23%21.50%34.23%52.04%
Dividend Yield--1.23%1.22%1.21%1.02%1.12%1.66%1.64%1.46%1.49%1.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,625.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)586.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,039.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)325.00203.13121.88
Cash Retained (M)1,039.001,039.001,039.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-325.00-203.13-121.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)714.00835.88917.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)579.05579.05579.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.441.58
LTM Dividend per Share1.011.011.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.441.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.252.462.60
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$75.81$123.10$248.19
Upside / Downside-14.29%39.18%180.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,625.001,730.631,843.121,962.922,090.512,226.392,293.18
Payout Ratio36.06%46.85%57.64%68.42%79.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)586.00810.781,062.321,343.121,655.942,003.752,121.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)739.40746.41753.42
Year 2 PV (M)883.50900.32917.31
Year 3 PV (M)1,018.691,047.931,077.73
Year 4 PV (M)1,145.371,189.421,234.73
Year 5 PV (M)1,263.931,324.981,388.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,789.6224,938.6726,131.69
Equity Value (M)28,840.5130,147.7331,503.24
Shares Outstanding (M)579.05579.05579.05
Fair Value$49.81$52.06$54.40
Upside / Downside-43.69%-41.14%-38.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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