Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

MyState Limited (MYS.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.84 - $10.01$7.64
Multi-Stage$9.65 - $10.58$10.10
Blended Fair Value$8.87
Current Price$4.21
Upside110.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.31%1.08%0.180.150.070.160.080.150.150.140.120.15
YoY Growth--25.02%108.91%-56.85%110.93%-48.05%-1.79%4.06%17.84%-18.81%-7.78%
Dividend Yield--4.32%3.88%2.20%3.96%1.64%3.81%3.35%2.92%2.56%3.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.178.865.31
Cash Retained (M)20.9720.9720.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.17-8.86-5.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.8012.1215.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)152.33152.33152.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.080.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.080.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.410.43
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate0.62%1.62%2.62%
Fair Value$5.84$7.64$10.01
Upside / Downside38.70%81.53%137.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.8572.0073.1774.3575.5676.7979.09
Payout Ratio70.40%74.32%78.24%82.16%86.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.8853.5157.2461.0965.0469.1173.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate0.62%1.62%2.62%
Year 1 PV (M)49.5049.9950.48
Year 2 PV (M)48.9949.9750.96
Year 3 PV (M)48.3649.8251.30
Year 4 PV (M)47.6349.5651.54
Year 5 PV (M)46.8249.1951.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,228.541,290.811,355.58
Equity Value (M)1,469.841,539.341,611.52
Shares Outstanding (M)152.33152.33152.33
Fair Value$9.65$10.10$10.58
Upside / Downside129.19%140.02%151.28%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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