Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$86.29 - $160.26$150.19
Multi-Stage$24.81 - $27.18$25.97
Blended Fair Value$88.08
Current Price$8.87
Upside893.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---2.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.14%0.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.330.210.13
Cash Retained (M)1.461.461.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.33-0.21-0.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.131.261.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.072.072.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.550.610.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.550.610.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.29%6.29%6.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$86.29$150.19$160.26
Upside / Downside872.85%1,593.20%1,706.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1.671.781.892.022.152.292.36
Payout Ratio12.25%27.80%43.35%58.90%74.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.200.490.821.191.602.062.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.29%6.29%6.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)0.460.470.47
Year 2 PV (M)0.710.730.74
Year 3 PV (M)0.960.991.02
Year 4 PV (M)1.211.251.30
Year 5 PV (M)1.451.521.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)46.6148.8651.20
Equity Value (M)51.4053.8156.32
Shares Outstanding (M)2.072.072.07
Fair Value$24.81$25.97$27.18
Upside / Downside179.68%192.81%206.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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