Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Dayamitra Telekomunikasi Tbk. (MTEL.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,403.42 - $5,193.79$4,867.34
Multi-Stage$871.99 - $953.78$912.13
Blended Fair Value$2,889.74
Current Price$555.00
Upside420.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS75.67%0.00%18.4121.6211.8226.691.261.101.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---14.88%82.89%-55.70%2,013.09%14.78%10.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.26%3.52%1.68%3.47%0.17%0.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,134,366.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,504,281.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)630,085.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)426,873.20266,795.75160,077.45
Cash Retained (M)630,085.00630,085.00630,085.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-426,873.20-266,795.75-160,077.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)203,211.80363,289.25470,007.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)81,726.8981,726.8981,726.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.494.455.75
LTM Dividend per Share18.4118.4118.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.494.455.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.8922.8524.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.15%6.15%6.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,403.42$4,867.34$5,193.79
Upside / Downside513.23%777.00%835.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,134,366.002,273,099.792,420,851.282,578,206.612,745,790.042,924,266.393,011,994.38
Payout Ratio70.48%74.38%78.29%82.19%86.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,504,281.001,690,805.371,895,222.332,119,069.842,364,010.212,631,839.752,786,094.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.15%6.15%6.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,577,924.231,592,880.861,607,837.49
Year 2 PV (M)1,650,612.841,682,052.371,713,788.51
Year 3 PV (M)1,722,355.711,771,798.361,822,178.27
Year 4 PV (M)1,793,161.701,862,121.641,933,051.71
Year 5 PV (M)1,863,039.561,953,025.062,046,454.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)62,657,645.0465,684,032.7268,826,247.38
Equity Value (M)71,264,739.0874,545,911.0277,949,557.90
Shares Outstanding (M)81,726.8981,726.8981,726.89
Fair Value$871.99$912.13$953.78
Upside / Downside57.11%64.35%71.85%

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