Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Valuations

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Industry

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Metrics Income Opportunities Trust (MOT.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.39 - $5.18$4.23
Multi-Stage$7.45 - $8.19$7.81
Blended Fair Value$6.02
Current Price$1.99
Upside202.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.170.140.090.070.070.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--21.57%49.10%28.17%-1.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.35%6.27%4.59%3.85%3.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)116.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)92.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.3414.598.75
Cash Retained (M)24.1224.1224.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.34-14.59-8.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.789.5315.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)305.61305.61305.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.39$4.23$5.18
Upside / Downside70.55%112.53%160.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)116.72115.55114.40113.25112.12111.00114.33
Payout Ratio79.33%81.47%83.60%85.73%87.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)92.6094.1495.6497.1098.5299.90105.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)87.2388.1289.01
Year 2 PV (M)82.1383.8185.51
Year 3 PV (M)77.2779.6582.09
Year 4 PV (M)72.6575.6678.76
Year 5 PV (M)68.2771.8275.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,890.411,988.852,091.34
Equity Value (M)2,277.952,387.922,502.25
Shares Outstanding (M)305.61305.61305.61
Fair Value$7.45$7.81$8.19
Upside / Downside274.56%292.65%311.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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