Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Magyar Bancorp, Inc. (MGYR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$151.64 - $230.91$216.40
Multi-Stage$37.69 - $41.28$39.45
Blended Fair Value$127.93
Current Price$17.27
Upside640.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.270.210.230.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--27.68%-7.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.56%1.45%2.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.450.900.54
Cash Retained (M)5.605.605.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.45-0.90-0.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.154.695.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.236.236.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.750.81
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.750.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.931.021.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.15%6.15%6.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$151.64$216.40$230.91
Upside / Downside778.04%1,153.03%1,237.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.247.718.218.749.319.9110.21
Payout Ratio22.66%36.13%49.60%63.07%76.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.642.784.075.517.128.929.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.15%6.15%6.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2.602.622.65
Year 2 PV (M)3.553.613.68
Year 3 PV (M)4.484.614.74
Year 4 PV (M)5.405.615.83
Year 5 PV (M)6.326.626.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)212.53222.80233.45
Equity Value (M)234.88245.88257.29
Shares Outstanding (M)6.236.236.23
Fair Value$37.69$39.45$41.28
Upside / Downside118.23%128.45%139.05%

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