Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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MAAS Group Holdings Limited (MGH.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.57 - $20.74$12.73
Multi-Stage$34.75 - $38.40$36.54
Blended Fair Value$24.64
Current Price$4.24
Upside481.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.070.060.060.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--27.10%2.85%332.59%227.21%0.00%-100.00%-1.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.74%1.37%2.12%0.36%0.07%0.00%0.07%0.07%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9818.1210.87
Cash Retained (M)91.2891.2891.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.98-18.12-10.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)62.2973.1680.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)339.40339.40339.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate1.90%1.90%1.90%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.57$12.73$20.74
Upside / Downside102.20%200.32%389.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.92143.47142.04140.62139.21137.82141.95
Payout Ratio37.02%47.61%58.21%68.81%79.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.6468.3182.6896.75110.54124.04131.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.90%1.90%1.90%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)66.3667.0367.71
Year 2 PV (M)78.0279.6281.23
Year 3 PV (M)88.6991.4394.23
Year 4 PV (M)98.42102.50106.71
Year 5 PV (M)107.28112.87118.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,357.1311,948.5212,564.30
Equity Value (M)11,795.9012,401.9813,032.87
Shares Outstanding (M)339.40339.40339.40
Fair Value$34.75$36.54$38.40
Upside / Downside719.69%761.80%805.64%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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