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Definitive Analysis

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Meta Platforms, Inc. (META)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$341.33 - $625.84$458.87
Multi-Stage$260.00 - $283.93$271.75
Blended Fair Value$365.31
Current Price$734.38
Upside-50.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.960.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58,528.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,256.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)53,272.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,705.607,316.004,389.60
Cash Retained (M)53,272.0053,272.0053,272.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,705.60-7,316.00-4,389.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)41,566.4045,956.0048,882.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,586.502,586.502,586.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.0717.7718.90
LTM Dividend per Share2.032.032.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.0717.7718.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.1019.8020.93
WACC / Discount Rate11.10%11.10%11.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$341.33$458.87$625.84
Upside / Downside-53.52%-37.52%-14.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58,528.0062,332.3266,383.9270,698.8875,294.3080,188.4382,594.09
Payout Ratio8.98%25.18%41.39%57.59%73.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,256.0015,697.9327,475.1040,716.9955,564.2372,169.5976,399.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.10%11.10%11.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13,997.4714,130.1514,262.82
Year 2 PV (M)21,845.0822,261.1722,681.18
Year 3 PV (M)28,866.6929,695.3530,539.72
Year 4 PV (M)35,125.6136,476.4437,865.86
Year 5 PV (M)40,680.8442,645.7444,685.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)531,977.01557,671.70584,349.78
Equity Value (M)672,492.69702,880.53734,385.20
Shares Outstanding (M)2,586.502,586.502,586.50
Fair Value$260.00$271.75$283.93
Upside / Downside-64.60%-63.00%-61.34%

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