Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Mercantil Financeira S.A. - Crédito, Financiamento e Investimento (MERC4.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.20 - $12.57$10.24
Multi-Stage$12.61 - $13.84$13.21
Blended Fair Value$11.73
Current Price$12.30
Upside-4.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.51%0.00%0.220.080.080.100.120.170.220.000.000.00
YoY Growth--182.21%-5.81%-12.61%-21.07%-28.67%-23.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.34%1.13%1.29%1.18%1.16%1.76%2.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.324.572.74
Cash Retained (M)24.4024.4024.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.32-4.57-2.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.0819.8321.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)41.0041.0041.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.480.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.480.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.710.780.83
WACC / Discount Rate8.43%8.43%8.43%
Growth Rate-0.25%0.75%1.75%
Fair Value$8.20$10.24$12.57
Upside / Downside-33.30%-16.72%2.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.5836.8537.1337.4137.6937.9739.11
Payout Ratio33.30%44.64%55.98%67.32%78.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.1816.4520.7825.1829.6434.1736.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.43%8.43%8.43%
Growth Rate-0.25%0.75%1.75%
Year 1 PV (M)15.0215.1715.32
Year 2 PV (M)17.3317.6818.03
Year 3 PV (M)19.1719.7620.35
Year 4 PV (M)20.6121.4522.31
Year 5 PV (M)21.6922.8023.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)423.21444.85467.37
Equity Value (M)517.04541.71567.35
Shares Outstanding (M)41.0041.0041.00
Fair Value$12.61$13.21$13.84
Upside / Downside2.54%7.43%12.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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