Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$149.43 - $534.36$248.21
Multi-Stage$95.42 - $104.29$99.78
Blended Fair Value$173.99
Current Price$45.00
Upside286.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.61%-0.85%1.391.301.211.141.111.061.700.741.160.59
YoY Growth--6.99%7.15%5.82%3.31%4.80%-37.79%128.29%-35.69%96.84%-61.10%
Dividend Yield--3.19%3.46%3.96%3.23%3.41%4.99%5.12%2.24%3.36%2.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)85.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)62.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.1110.696.42
Cash Retained (M)62.3362.3362.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.11-10.69-6.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.2251.6355.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.2016.2016.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.793.193.45
LTM Dividend per Share1.431.431.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.793.193.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.224.624.88
WACC / Discount Rate8.48%8.48%8.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$149.43$248.21$534.36
Upside / Downside232.08%451.57%1,087.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)85.5491.1097.02103.33110.04117.20120.71
Payout Ratio27.14%39.71%52.28%64.85%77.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.2136.1850.7267.0185.20105.48111.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.48%8.48%8.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)33.0333.3533.66
Year 2 PV (M)42.3043.1043.92
Year 3 PV (M)51.0252.4953.98
Year 4 PV (M)59.2461.5263.86
Year 5 PV (M)66.9770.2073.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,293.021,355.471,420.32
Equity Value (M)1,545.581,616.131,689.30
Shares Outstanding (M)16.2016.2016.20
Fair Value$95.42$99.78$104.29
Upside / Downside112.05%121.73%131.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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