Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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MFC-Strategic Storage Fund (M-STOR.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.60 - $6.94$5.70
Multi-Stage$9.70 - $10.65$10.16
Blended Fair Value$7.93
Current Price$7.05
Upside12.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.98%-5.88%0.450.400.330.370.370.400.570.720.710.73
YoY Growth--11.25%19.55%-8.58%-0.81%-8.53%-28.60%-20.98%0.70%-2.47%-10.78%
Dividend Yield--6.18%5.52%5.53%5.95%6.00%6.56%9.19%11.63%11.54%11.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.514.072.44
Cash Retained (M)5.775.775.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.51-4.07-2.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.731.713.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.8060.8060.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.030.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.030.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.49
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.60$5.70$6.94
Upside / Downside-34.82%-19.12%-1.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.5332.2031.8831.5631.2430.9331.86
Payout Ratio82.25%83.80%85.35%86.90%88.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.7526.9827.2127.4327.6427.8429.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)24.9325.1925.44
Year 2 PV (M)23.2323.7124.19
Year 3 PV (M)21.6422.3122.99
Year 4 PV (M)20.1520.9821.84
Year 5 PV (M)18.7519.7320.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)481.04506.09532.17
Equity Value (M)589.75618.01647.39
Shares Outstanding (M)60.8060.8060.80
Fair Value$9.70$10.16$10.65
Upside / Downside37.59%44.18%51.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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