Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Lalique Group S.A. (LLQ.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Luxury GoodsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.03 - $62.59$42.37
Multi-Stage$27.37 - $29.89$28.61
Blended Fair Value$35.49
Current Price$38.11
Upside-6.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS10.96%0.00%0.500.380.000.000.360.290.080.040.000.00
YoY Growth--30.63%0.00%0.00%-100.00%22.73%250.32%93.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.30%1.17%0.00%0.00%1.01%0.67%0.18%0.09%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.441.520.91
Cash Retained (M)5.605.605.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.44-1.52-0.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.164.074.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.367.367.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.550.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.550.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.451.53
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate4.21%5.21%6.21%
Fair Value$30.03$42.37$62.59
Upside / Downside-21.19%11.17%64.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.2012.8313.5014.2114.9515.7316.20
Payout Ratio54.12%61.30%68.47%75.65%82.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.607.879.2510.7512.3814.1514.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate4.21%5.21%6.21%
Year 1 PV (M)7.167.237.30
Year 2 PV (M)7.667.817.96
Year 3 PV (M)8.118.348.58
Year 4 PV (M)8.508.839.17
Year 5 PV (M)8.859.289.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)161.10168.98177.17
Equity Value (M)201.38210.47219.91
Shares Outstanding (M)7.367.367.36
Fair Value$27.37$28.61$29.89
Upside / Downside-28.17%-24.93%-21.57%

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