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Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. (LIEN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.25 - $29.85$24.16
Multi-Stage$43.55 - $47.99$45.73
Blended Fair Value$34.94
Current Price$10.50
Upside232.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.770.510.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--50.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.87%5.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.604.132.48
Cash Retained (M)25.2525.2525.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.60-4.13-2.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.6521.1222.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.0716.0716.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.161.311.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.161.311.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.641.801.90
WACC / Discount Rate6.37%6.37%6.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$19.25$24.16$29.85
Upside / Downside83.34%130.08%184.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.0132.6832.3532.0331.7131.3932.33
Payout Ratio23.50%36.80%50.10%63.40%76.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.7612.0316.2120.3124.3228.2529.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.37%6.37%6.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.1911.3111.42
Year 2 PV (M)14.0414.3314.62
Year 3 PV (M)16.3716.8717.39
Year 4 PV (M)18.2419.0019.78
Year 5 PV (M)19.7220.7521.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)620.08652.37685.99
Equity Value (M)699.64734.62771.01
Shares Outstanding (M)16.0716.0716.07
Fair Value$43.55$45.73$47.99
Upside / Downside314.74%335.48%357.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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