Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Littelfuse, Inc. (LFUS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.62 - $176.11$120.21
Multi-Stage$66.86 - $72.81$69.78
Blended Fair Value$95.00
Current Price$259.82
Upside-63.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.46%12.22%2.682.492.241.991.871.791.601.271.120.97
YoY Growth--7.88%11.18%12.43%6.17%4.81%11.74%25.88%14.01%14.48%14.95%
Dividend Yield--1.34%1.03%0.83%0.80%0.70%1.43%0.88%0.61%0.70%0.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)47.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.7314.838.90
Cash Retained (M)47.9647.9647.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.73-14.83-8.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)24.2333.1339.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.9824.9824.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.971.331.56
LTM Dividend per Share2.832.832.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.971.331.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.804.164.39
WACC / Discount Rate10.18%10.18%10.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$85.62$120.21$176.11
Upside / Downside-67.05%-53.73%-32.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118.65126.36134.57143.32152.64162.56167.44
Payout Ratio59.57%65.66%71.74%77.83%83.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.6982.9796.55111.55128.09146.30154.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.18%10.18%10.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)74.5975.3076.01
Year 2 PV (M)78.0479.5381.03
Year 3 PV (M)81.0783.3985.76
Year 4 PV (M)83.6986.9190.22
Year 5 PV (M)85.9590.1094.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,266.871,328.061,391.59
Equity Value (M)1,670.211,743.291,819.02
Shares Outstanding (M)24.9824.9824.98
Fair Value$66.86$69.78$72.81
Upside / Downside-74.27%-73.14%-71.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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