Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.50 - $20.46$16.77
Multi-Stage$17.33 - $18.97$18.13
Blended Fair Value$17.45
Current Price$22.37
Upside-21.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.75%20.80%0.500.480.440.260.160.280.220.170.150.12
YoY Growth--4.20%9.29%66.95%64.05%-44.13%26.57%28.57%16.67%20.00%66.65%
Dividend Yield--2.88%2.63%2.47%1.15%0.67%1.49%1.00%0.78%0.67%0.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)602.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)209.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)393.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)120.5475.3445.20
Cash Retained (M)393.10393.10393.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-120.54-75.34-45.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)272.56317.76347.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.25400.25400.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.790.87
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.790.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.201.321.39
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate0.95%1.95%2.95%
Fair Value$13.50$16.77$20.46
Upside / Downside-39.65%-25.02%-8.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)602.70614.43626.38638.57650.99663.66683.57
Payout Ratio34.78%45.82%56.87%67.91%78.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)209.60281.54356.20433.66513.99597.29632.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate0.95%1.95%2.95%
Year 1 PV (M)253.54256.05258.56
Year 2 PV (M)288.88294.63300.44
Year 3 PV (M)316.72326.22335.92
Year 4 PV (M)338.06351.66365.66
Year 5 PV (M)353.78371.65390.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,385.865,657.975,940.97
Equity Value (M)6,936.847,258.187,591.79
Shares Outstanding (M)400.25400.25400.25
Fair Value$17.33$18.13$18.97
Upside / Downside-22.52%-18.94%-15.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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