Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Rosseti Kuban PJSC (KUBE.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,793.41 - $3,303.58$3,095.93
Multi-Stage$537.24 - $587.22$561.77
Blended Fair Value$1,828.85
Current Price$141.80
Upside1,189.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS68.39%0.00%4.872.176.950.001.600.360.801.342.870.00
YoY Growth--124.36%-68.77%34,679,437.50%-100.00%343.39%-55.29%-39.93%-53.29%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.44%0.54%8.13%0.00%2.27%0.60%1.18%1.86%3.22%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,627.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,831.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)795.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,325.47828.42497.05
Cash Retained (M)795.37795.37795.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,325.47-828.42-497.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)-530.11-33.05298.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)398.97398.97398.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.33-0.080.75
LTM Dividend per Share14.6214.6214.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.33-0.080.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.2914.5315.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,793.41$3,095.93$3,303.58
Upside / Downside1,164.75%2,083.31%2,229.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,627.357,058.137,516.918,005.518,525.879,080.059,352.45
Payout Ratio88.00%88.40%88.80%89.20%89.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,831.996,239.326,674.967,140.877,639.158,172.048,651.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,815.425,870.545,925.67
Year 2 PV (M)5,798.785,909.236,020.73
Year 3 PV (M)5,782.085,948.066,117.19
Year 4 PV (M)5,765.305,987.026,215.07
Year 5 PV (M)5,748.466,026.116,314.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)185,431.13194,387.53203,686.70
Equity Value (M)214,341.17224,128.49234,279.74
Shares Outstanding (M)398.97398.97398.97
Fair Value$537.24$561.77$587.22
Upside / Downside278.87%296.17%314.12%

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