Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.19 - $39.01$32.97
Multi-Stage$42.57 - $46.62$44.55
Blended Fair Value$38.76
Current Price$80.52
Upside-51.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS12.01%0.00%2.001.941.851.700.981.130.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3.21%4.74%9.02%73.61%-13.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.14%3.22%3.82%4.10%2.01%5.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)217.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)115.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)102.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.5327.2116.33
Cash Retained (M)102.30102.30102.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.53-27.21-16.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)58.7775.0985.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.0356.0356.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.051.341.53
LTM Dividend per Share2.062.062.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.051.341.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.113.403.59
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate-1.54%-0.54%0.46%
Fair Value$27.19$32.97$39.01
Upside / Downside-66.23%-59.05%-51.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)217.67216.49215.31214.14212.98211.82218.18
Payout Ratio53.00%60.40%67.80%75.20%82.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)115.37130.76145.99161.04175.92190.64201.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate-1.54%-0.54%0.46%
Year 1 PV (M)117.99119.19120.39
Year 2 PV (M)118.86121.29123.74
Year 3 PV (M)118.31121.96125.67
Year 4 PV (M)116.63121.44126.40
Year 5 PV (M)114.04119.95126.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,799.511,892.771,989.86
Equity Value (M)2,385.352,496.602,612.17
Shares Outstanding (M)56.0356.0356.03
Fair Value$42.57$44.55$46.62
Upside / Downside-47.13%-44.67%-42.11%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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