Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Klinique Medical Clinic Public Company Limited (KLINIQ.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$132.44 - $320.85$300.68
Multi-Stage$48.58 - $53.08$50.79
Blended Fair Value$175.74
Current Price$27.00
Upside550.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%1.411.060.700.371.370.000.000.140.000.00
YoY Growth--33.33%50.78%91.50%-73.26%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.87%2.67%1.71%1.50%5.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)351.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)319.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)32.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.3143.9426.37
Cash Retained (M)32.5632.5632.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.31-43.94-26.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)-37.75-11.396.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)217.91217.91217.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.050.03
LTM Dividend per Share1.461.461.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.050.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$132.44$300.68$320.85
Upside / Downside390.53%1,013.65%1,088.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)351.56374.41398.75424.67452.27481.67496.12
Payout Ratio90.74%90.59%90.44%90.30%90.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)319.00339.18360.64383.45407.71433.50458.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)315.41318.40321.39
Year 2 PV (M)311.85317.79323.79
Year 3 PV (M)308.34317.19326.21
Year 4 PV (M)304.86316.59328.65
Year 5 PV (M)301.43315.99331.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,044.379,481.219,934.78
Equity Value (M)10,586.2611,067.1711,565.92
Shares Outstanding (M)217.91217.91217.91
Fair Value$48.58$50.79$53.08
Upside / Downside79.93%88.10%96.58%

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