Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Sector

KLA Corporation (KLAC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$430.58 - $746.91$566.24
Multi-Stage$343.00 - $373.98$358.21
Blended Fair Value$462.23
Current Price$1,078.60
Upside-57.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.61%-11.42%6.795.805.504.794.203.923.553.022.582.60
YoY Growth--17.02%5.53%14.73%14.15%7.07%10.62%17.46%16.88%-0.66%-88.61%
Dividend Yield--0.63%0.75%1.20%1.58%1.26%2.02%2.22%3.00%2.44%3.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,236.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)960.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,276.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)847.37529.60317.76
Cash Retained (M)3,276.313,276.313,276.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-847.37-529.60-317.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,428.942,746.712,958.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)133.21133.21133.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.2320.6222.21
LTM Dividend per Share7.217.217.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.2320.6222.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend25.4427.8329.42
WACC / Discount Rate11.73%11.73%11.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$430.58$566.24$746.91
Upside / Downside-60.08%-47.50%-30.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,236.834,512.234,805.525,117.885,450.545,804.835,978.97
Payout Ratio22.67%36.14%49.60%63.07%76.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)960.521,630.572,383.663,227.764,171.535,224.345,530.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.73%11.73%11.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,445.621,459.321,473.03
Year 2 PV (M)1,873.591,909.281,945.30
Year 3 PV (M)2,249.312,313.882,379.67
Year 4 PV (M)2,577.262,676.382,778.32
Year 5 PV (M)2,861.622,999.833,143.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,682.8536,358.0538,097.36
Equity Value (M)45,690.2647,716.7449,817.03
Shares Outstanding (M)133.21133.21133.21
Fair Value$343.00$358.21$373.98
Upside / Downside-68.20%-66.79%-65.33%

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