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Definitive Analysis

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Kforce Inc. (KFRC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.35 - $29.27$24.02
Multi-Stage$31.48 - $34.47$32.94
Blended Fair Value$28.48
Current Price$29.98
Upside-4.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.20%8.25%1.531.501.301.090.910.900.810.660.680.68
YoY Growth--2.45%14.71%19.42%19.85%1.08%11.68%22.46%-2.43%-0.78%-1.81%
Dividend Yield--3.13%2.14%2.06%1.48%1.70%3.52%2.26%2.44%2.84%3.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.145.093.05
Cash Retained (M)12.9912.9912.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.14-5.09-3.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.857.909.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.4318.4318.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.260.430.54
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.260.430.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.771.932.04
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate-0.55%0.45%1.45%
Fair Value$19.35$24.02$29.27
Upside / Downside-35.45%-19.87%-2.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.7240.9041.0941.2741.4541.6442.89
Payout Ratio68.10%72.48%76.86%81.24%85.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.7329.6531.5833.5335.4937.4839.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate-0.55%0.45%1.45%
Year 1 PV (M)27.0427.3227.59
Year 2 PV (M)26.2826.8127.35
Year 3 PV (M)25.4526.2327.02
Year 4 PV (M)24.5825.5826.62
Year 5 PV (M)23.6724.8926.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)453.05476.29500.47
Equity Value (M)580.07607.11635.19
Shares Outstanding (M)18.4318.4318.43
Fair Value$31.48$32.94$34.47
Upside / Downside4.99%9.89%14.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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