Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PJSC TNS energo Kuban (KBSB.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$848.41 - $1,717.61$1,184.36
Multi-Stage$925.19 - $1,013.23$968.39
Blended Fair Value$1,076.37
Current Price$539.00
Upside99.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.65%0.00%14.8617.990.000.053.9813.694.260.000.000.00
YoY Growth---17.42%8,035,825.00%-99.53%-98.81%-70.94%221.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.60%3.75%0.00%0.03%3.10%10.37%3.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)880.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)321.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)559.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)176.13110.0866.05
Cash Retained (M)559.21559.21559.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-176.13-110.08-66.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)383.08449.12493.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.8717.8717.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.4425.1327.60
LTM Dividend per Share17.9917.9917.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.4425.1327.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend39.4343.1245.59
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Fair Value$848.41$1,184.36$1,717.61
Upside / Downside57.40%119.73%218.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)880.64915.98952.74990.971,030.741,072.101,104.26
Payout Ratio36.50%47.20%57.90%68.60%79.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)321.44432.35551.64679.81817.37964.891,021.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Year 1 PV (M)397.21401.06404.92
Year 2 PV (M)465.61474.70483.87
Year 3 PV (M)527.16542.66558.46
Year 4 PV (M)582.32605.27628.88
Year 5 PV (M)631.55662.80695.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,928.3914,617.6915,334.02
Equity Value (M)16,532.2417,304.1818,105.44
Shares Outstanding (M)17.8717.8717.87
Fair Value$925.19$968.39$1,013.23
Upside / Downside71.65%79.66%87.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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