Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kasikornbank Public Company Limited (KBANK-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$402.33 - $888.02$579.29
Multi-Stage$476.29 - $521.63$498.54
Blended Fair Value$538.91
Current Price$167.50
Upside221.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.17%7.81%7.504.003.253.004.504.044.044.044.044.04
YoY Growth--87.50%23.08%8.33%-33.33%11.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14.29%
Dividend Yield--4.64%3.23%2.45%1.86%3.10%4.42%2.17%1.91%2.14%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49,780.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29,616.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,164.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,956.186,222.613,733.57
Cash Retained (M)20,164.2920,164.2920,164.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,956.18-6,222.61-3,733.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,208.1213,941.6816,430.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,369.332,369.332,369.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.315.886.93
LTM Dividend per Share12.5012.5012.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.315.886.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.8118.3819.43
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Fair Value$402.33$579.29$888.02
Upside / Downside140.20%245.84%430.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49,780.8951,643.7553,576.3255,581.2157,661.1359,818.8861,613.44
Payout Ratio59.49%65.60%71.70%77.80%83.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29,616.6033,875.7838,412.2643,240.8348,376.9853,836.9956,992.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Year 1 PV (M)31,344.3431,649.4231,954.49
Year 2 PV (M)32,885.8833,529.1634,178.67
Year 3 PV (M)34,253.3735,263.3136,292.91
Year 4 PV (M)35,458.3036,859.0638,300.92
Year 5 PV (M)36,511.5038,323.2840,206.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)958,033.171,005,572.811,054,981.22
Equity Value (M)1,128,486.551,181,197.041,235,914.49
Shares Outstanding (M)2,369.332,369.332,369.33
Fair Value$476.29$498.54$521.63
Upside / Downside184.35%197.63%211.42%

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