Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Karmarts Public Company Limited (KAMART.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.76 - $104.33$97.78
Multi-Stage$16.16 - $17.66$16.90
Blended Fair Value$57.34
Current Price$7.50
Upside664.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.63%12.01%0.380.250.160.110.120.190.190.170.140.12
YoY Growth--52.88%51.04%50.00%-5.88%-39.27%-0.01%14.30%16.71%16.67%0.89%
Dividend Yield--4.61%1.96%2.33%3.09%3.16%11.10%6.06%2.90%2.00%2.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)673.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)539.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)134.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)134.6084.1350.48
Cash Retained (M)134.00134.00134.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-134.60-84.13-50.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.6049.8883.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,282.821,282.821,282.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.040.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.040.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.420.460.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47.76$97.78$104.33
Upside / Downside536.83%1,203.69%1,291.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)673.00716.75763.33812.95865.79922.07949.73
Payout Ratio80.09%82.07%84.05%86.04%88.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)539.00588.24641.61699.43762.05829.86878.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)547.53552.72557.91
Year 2 PV (M)555.87566.45577.14
Year 3 PV (M)564.02580.21596.71
Year 4 PV (M)571.99593.99616.61
Year 5 PV (M)579.78607.78636.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,909.1618,774.1819,672.30
Equity Value (M)20,728.3321,675.3222,657.52
Shares Outstanding (M)1,282.821,282.821,282.82
Fair Value$16.16$16.90$17.66
Upside / Downside115.44%125.29%135.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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