Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Sector

Kellanova (K)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food ConfectionersSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.35 - $57.45$45.99
Multi-Stage$88.34 - $97.21$92.69
Blended Fair Value$69.34
Current Price$77.94
Upside-11.03%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.18%1.33%2.222.292.282.252.242.202.182.102.052.00
YoY Growth---3.00%0.38%1.14%0.77%1.69%0.92%3.53%2.79%2.29%2.94%
Dividend Yield--2.69%3.99%3.63%3.66%3.76%3.94%4.05%3.45%3.00%2.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,277.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)794.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)483.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)255.40159.6395.78
Cash Retained (M)483.00483.00483.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-255.40-159.63-95.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)227.60323.38387.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)349.75349.75349.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.650.921.11
LTM Dividend per Share2.272.272.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.650.921.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.923.193.38
WACC / Discount Rate6.07%6.07%6.07%
Growth Rate-1.82%-0.82%0.18%
Fair Value$36.35$45.99$57.45
Upside / Downside-53.36%-40.99%-26.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,277.001,266.551,256.181,245.901,235.701,225.581,262.35
Payout Ratio62.18%67.74%73.31%78.87%84.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)794.00857.98920.86982.651,043.371,103.021,167.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.07%6.07%6.07%
Growth Rate-1.82%-0.82%0.18%
Year 1 PV (M)800.72808.87817.03
Year 2 PV (M)802.05818.47835.06
Year 3 PV (M)798.75823.40848.56
Year 4 PV (M)791.50824.24857.99
Year 5 PV (M)780.91821.50863.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,922.2028,321.4629,778.31
Equity Value (M)30,896.1332,417.9534,000.70
Shares Outstanding (M)349.75349.75349.75
Fair Value$88.34$92.69$97.21
Upside / Downside13.34%18.92%24.73%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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