Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Nuveen Real Estate Income Fund (JRS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.17 - $9.99$8.58
Multi-Stage$14.95 - $16.40$15.66
Blended Fair Value$12.12
Current Price$7.78
Upside55.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.20%-2.59%0.680.680.840.760.760.760.851.000.980.96
YoY Growth--0.00%-18.66%10.00%0.00%0.00%-10.06%-15.50%2.04%2.08%8.63%
Dividend Yield--7.88%8.70%11.06%5.93%9.00%7.16%9.99%8.90%9.10%9.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.134.462.67
Cash Retained (M)3.643.643.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.13-4.46-2.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.49-0.820.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.8928.8928.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.081.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.55%8.55%8.55%
Growth Rate-4.59%-3.59%-2.59%
Fair Value$7.17$8.58$9.99
Upside / Downside-7.81%10.28%28.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.6534.3733.1431.9530.8129.7030.59
Payout Ratio89.79%89.83%89.87%89.91%89.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.0130.8829.7828.7327.7126.7328.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.55%8.55%8.55%
Growth Rate-4.59%-3.59%-2.59%
Year 1 PV (M)28.1528.4528.74
Year 2 PV (M)24.7625.2825.81
Year 3 PV (M)21.7722.4623.17
Year 4 PV (M)19.1519.9620.80
Year 5 PV (M)16.8417.7418.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)321.41338.61356.54
Equity Value (M)432.08452.50473.74
Shares Outstanding (M)28.8928.8928.89
Fair Value$14.95$15.66$16.40
Upside / Downside92.22%101.30%110.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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