Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

J.R.W. Utility Public Company Limited (JR.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.38 - $20.28$9.86
Multi-Stage$9.81 - $10.84$10.32
Blended Fair Value$10.09
Current Price$1.79
Upside463.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.34%0.00%0.040.090.140.060.150.050.030.000.030.03
YoY Growth---55.58%-35.72%133.34%-59.14%210.00%61.73%0.00%-100.00%15.22%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.66%2.04%2.10%0.76%1.76%0.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)53.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.7010.446.26
Cash Retained (M)53.1753.1753.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.70-10.44-6.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.4642.7346.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)761.83761.83761.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.10
WACC / Discount Rate-0.04%-0.04%-0.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.38$9.86$20.28
Upside / Downside144.62%450.95%1,033.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.5282.6981.8681.0480.2379.4381.81
Payout Ratio36.34%47.07%57.81%68.54%79.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.3538.9247.3255.5463.6071.4975.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.04%-0.04%-0.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)38.5438.9439.33
Year 2 PV (M)46.4047.3548.32
Year 3 PV (M)53.9455.6157.31
Year 4 PV (M)61.1663.6966.30
Year 5 PV (M)68.0771.6275.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,206.367,581.627,972.34
Equity Value (M)7,474.487,858.838,258.91
Shares Outstanding (M)761.83761.83761.83
Fair Value$9.81$10.32$10.84
Upside / Downside448.11%476.30%505.64%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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