Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Jaguar Global Growth Corporation I (JGGC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.28 - $3.59$2.88
Multi-Stage$5.72 - $6.29$6.00
Blended Fair Value$4.44
Current Price$10.58
Upside-58.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.110.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.430.890.54
Cash Retained (M)2.632.632.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.43-0.89-0.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.211.742.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.6730.6730.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.200.22
WACC / Discount Rate6.00%6.00%6.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.28$2.88$3.59
Upside / Downside-78.45%-72.79%-66.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.147.066.996.926.856.796.99
Payout Ratio63.08%68.46%73.85%79.23%84.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.504.845.165.495.806.116.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.00%6.00%6.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.524.564.61
Year 2 PV (M)4.504.604.69
Year 3 PV (M)4.474.614.75
Year 4 PV (M)4.414.594.78
Year 5 PV (M)4.344.564.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)153.02160.99169.29
Equity Value (M)175.26183.91192.91
Shares Outstanding (M)30.6730.6730.67
Fair Value$5.72$6.00$6.29
Upside / Downside-45.98%-43.32%-40.54%

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