Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Izostal S.A. (IZS.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.18 - $6.65$5.31
Multi-Stage$10.68 - $11.78$11.22
Blended Fair Value$8.26
Current Price$3.19
Upside159.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.09%-2.84%0.090.120.120.120.110.130.090.070.000.07
YoY Growth---24.99%0.00%0.00%9.08%-15.39%44.45%28.58%0.00%-100.00%-41.66%
Dividend Yield--3.23%4.70%3.66%4.25%3.23%6.09%2.78%1.63%0.00%1.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.701.691.01
Cash Retained (M)10.5710.5710.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.70-1.69-1.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.868.889.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.6932.6932.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate5.78%5.78%5.78%
Growth Rate-1.97%-0.97%0.03%
Fair Value$4.18$5.31$6.65
Upside / Downside31.17%66.41%108.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13.5113.3813.2513.1213.0012.8713.26
Payout Ratio21.81%35.45%49.09%62.72%76.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.954.746.518.239.9311.5812.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.78%5.78%5.78%
Growth Rate-1.97%-0.97%0.03%
Year 1 PV (M)4.444.484.53
Year 2 PV (M)5.705.815.93
Year 3 PV (M)6.756.957.17
Year 4 PV (M)7.617.938.25
Year 5 PV (M)8.318.759.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)316.33332.80349.94
Equity Value (M)349.14366.72385.02
Shares Outstanding (M)32.6932.6932.69
Fair Value$10.68$11.22$11.78
Upside / Downside234.85%251.71%269.26%

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