Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ITT Inc. (ITT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$114.26 - $246.52$163.20
Multi-Stage$83.44 - $91.11$87.21
Blended Fair Value$125.20
Current Price$176.82
Upside-29.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.98%9.91%1.291.181.080.940.730.640.580.560.550.53
YoY Growth--9.29%8.99%15.96%28.47%13.24%10.15%4.19%1.79%4.21%5.16%
Dividend Yield--1.00%0.87%1.26%1.23%0.80%1.42%0.98%1.14%1.34%1.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)483.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)109.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)373.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)96.6660.4136.25
Cash Retained (M)373.80373.80373.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-96.66-60.41-36.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)277.14313.39337.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)81.0381.0381.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.423.874.17
LTM Dividend per Share1.351.351.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.423.874.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.775.225.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$114.26$163.20$246.52
Upside / Downside-35.38%-7.70%39.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)483.30514.71548.17583.80621.75662.16682.03
Payout Ratio22.66%36.13%49.59%63.06%76.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)109.50185.94271.86368.16475.83595.95630.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)167.59169.18170.77
Year 2 PV (M)220.86225.06229.31
Year 3 PV (M)269.58277.32285.20
Year 4 PV (M)314.04326.11338.54
Year 5 PV (M)354.50371.62389.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,434.105,696.575,969.09
Equity Value (M)6,760.677,065.877,382.30
Shares Outstanding (M)81.0381.0381.03
Fair Value$83.44$87.21$91.11
Upside / Downside-52.81%-50.68%-48.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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