Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

AB Industrivärden (publ) (INDU-A.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$332.37 - $526.11$420.79
Multi-Stage$392.07 - $429.17$410.27
Blended Fair Value$415.53
Current Price$373.20
Upside11.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.99%3.90%7.757.256.758.310.005.795.545.295.016.26
YoY Growth--6.90%7.41%-18.80%0.00%-100.00%4.51%4.77%5.69%-19.99%18.40%
Dividend Yield--2.11%1.98%2.41%3.09%0.00%2.99%2.74%2.61%2.42%4.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,796.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,563.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,233.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,759.201,724.501,034.70
Cash Retained (M)10,233.0010,233.0010,233.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,759.20-1,724.50-1,034.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,473.808,508.509,198.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)431.80431.80431.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.3119.7021.30
LTM Dividend per Share8.258.258.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.3119.7021.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend25.5627.9629.55
WACC / Discount Rate9.74%9.74%9.74%
Growth Rate1.90%2.90%3.90%
Fair Value$332.37$420.79$526.11
Upside / Downside-10.94%12.75%40.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,796.0014,196.6914,609.0215,033.3315,469.9615,919.2716,396.85
Payout Ratio25.83%38.66%51.50%64.33%77.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,563.005,488.597,523.039,671.0211,937.4414,327.3515,167.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.74%9.74%9.74%
Growth Rate1.90%2.90%3.90%
Year 1 PV (M)4,952.805,001.405,050.00
Year 2 PV (M)6,125.936,246.756,368.75
Year 3 PV (M)7,106.267,317.527,532.93
Year 4 PV (M)7,915.348,230.648,555.26
Year 5 PV (M)8,572.629,001.589,447.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)134,622.56141,358.81148,362.06
Equity Value (M)169,295.51177,156.71185,316.55
Shares Outstanding (M)431.80431.80431.80
Fair Value$392.07$410.27$429.17
Upside / Downside5.06%9.93%15.00%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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