Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,352.59 - $1,595.44$1,494.30
Multi-Stage$1,051.97 - $1,161.15$1,105.48
Blended Fair Value$1,299.89
Current Price$114.02
Upside1,040.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-18.52%-12.11%1.591.501.430.000.004.421.223.6410.391.15
YoY Growth--5.71%5.15%0.00%0.00%-100.00%262.31%-66.44%-64.97%800.53%-80.04%
Dividend Yield--1.28%1.67%2.49%0.00%0.00%6.41%2.26%5.72%23.16%2.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,388.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)518.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)870.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)277.60173.50104.10
Cash Retained (M)870.00870.00870.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-277.60-173.50-104.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)592.40696.50765.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)162.95162.95162.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.644.274.70
LTM Dividend per Share3.183.183.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.644.274.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.817.457.88
WACC / Discount Rate-5.15%-5.15%-5.15%
Growth Rate-0.75%0.25%1.25%
Fair Value$1,352.59$1,494.30$1,595.44
Upside / Downside1,086.27%1,210.56%1,299.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,388.001,391.441,394.891,398.351,401.821,405.291,447.45
Payout Ratio37.32%47.86%58.39%68.93%79.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)518.00665.89814.50963.851,113.941,264.761,338.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-5.15%-5.15%-5.15%
Growth Rate-0.75%0.25%1.25%
Year 1 PV (M)695.02702.02709.03
Year 2 PV (M)887.34905.31923.46
Year 3 PV (M)1,095.981,129.441,163.58
Year 4 PV (M)1,322.061,376.151,431.89
Year 5 PV (M)1,566.741,647.271,731.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)165,856.32174,382.06183,254.87
Equity Value (M)171,423.45180,142.26189,213.91
Shares Outstanding (M)162.95162.95162.95
Fair Value$1,051.97$1,105.48$1,161.15
Upside / Downside822.62%869.55%918.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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