Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$185.38 - $1,003.32$336.18
Multi-Stage$111.37 - $121.73$116.46
Blended Fair Value$226.32
Current Price$168.48
Upside34.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.84%13.26%1.801.661.481.301.161.080.960.830.710.57
YoY Growth--8.80%11.96%14.19%11.66%7.73%11.89%16.60%16.38%23.56%10.70%
Dividend Yield--1.05%1.21%1.42%0.98%1.04%1.34%1.25%1.14%1.19%1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,233.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,090.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,143.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)646.60404.13242.48
Cash Retained (M)2,143.002,143.002,143.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-646.60-404.13-242.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,496.401,738.881,900.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)575.75575.75575.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.603.023.30
LTM Dividend per Share1.891.891.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.603.023.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.494.915.19
WACC / Discount Rate8.06%8.06%8.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$185.38$336.18$1,003.32
Upside / Downside10.03%99.54%495.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,233.003,443.153,666.953,905.304,159.154,429.494,562.37
Payout Ratio33.71%44.97%56.23%67.49%78.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,090.001,548.452,061.882,635.533,275.033,986.544,220.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.06%8.06%8.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,419.541,433.001,446.45
Year 2 PV (M)1,732.881,765.891,799.20
Year 3 PV (M)2,030.602,088.892,148.28
Year 4 PV (M)2,313.252,402.222,493.72
Year 5 PV (M)2,581.402,706.082,835.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)54,043.0956,653.3959,363.59
Equity Value (M)64,120.7667,049.4570,086.78
Shares Outstanding (M)575.75575.75575.75
Fair Value$111.37$116.46$121.73
Upside / Downside-33.90%-30.88%-27.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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