Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Sector

Hufvudstaden AB (publ) (HUFV-A.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.22 - $96.77$75.99
Multi-Stage$216.52 - $238.95$227.51
Blended Fair Value$151.75
Current Price$126.80
Upside19.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.47%-0.38%2.702.702.602.503.983.783.573.373.162.96
YoY Growth--0.00%3.84%3.99%-37.12%5.40%5.72%6.05%6.46%6.89%5.47%
Dividend Yield--2.39%2.12%1.85%1.87%3.14%2.78%2.22%2.72%2.38%2.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,102.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)566.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)535.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)220.44137.7882.67
Cash Retained (M)535.70535.70535.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-220.44-137.78-82.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)315.26397.93453.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)202.03202.03202.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.561.972.24
LTM Dividend per Share2.802.802.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.561.972.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.364.775.05
WACC / Discount Rate4.82%4.82%4.82%
Growth Rate-2.38%-1.38%-0.38%
Fair Value$59.22$75.99$96.77
Upside / Downside-53.30%-40.07%-23.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,102.201,087.031,072.061,057.311,042.751,028.401,059.25
Payout Ratio51.40%59.12%66.84%74.56%82.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)566.50642.63716.55788.32857.97925.56979.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.82%4.82%4.82%
Growth Rate-2.38%-1.38%-0.38%
Year 1 PV (M)606.87613.08619.30
Year 2 PV (M)639.02652.18665.47
Year 3 PV (M)663.90684.51705.55
Year 4 PV (M)682.35710.74740.01
Year 5 PV (M)695.14731.48769.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,456.1142,571.0444,773.52
Equity Value (M)43,743.3945,963.0448,273.17
Shares Outstanding (M)202.03202.03202.03
Fair Value$216.52$227.51$238.95
Upside / Downside70.76%79.42%88.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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